A deep and talented PGA Tour field at TPC Southwind has produced evenly distributed probabilities around 25% for the second-round leader, reflecting broad parity after round one. Multiple players posted strong opening rounds, including Michael Thorbjornsen, Jordan Spieth, and Kurt Kitayama at 5-under, while others like Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Collin Morikawa bring elite ball-striking and recent form into contention. The course’s scoring opportunities, combined with similar skill profiles across the playoff field and limited separation after 18 holes, sustain the tight race. No dominant frontrunner has emerged, leaving outcomes sensitive to round-two execution and momentum shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSteven Fisk 50%
Matt Fitzpatrick 50%
Tommy Fleetwood 50%
Rickie Fowler 50%
Steven Fisk
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
50%
Rickie Fowler
50%
Ryan Fox
50%
Aldrich Potgieter
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Hideki Matsuyama
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Patrick Rodgers
50%
Justin Rose
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Matthias Schmid
50%
Adam Scott
50%
Jordan Spieth
50%
Nick Taylor
50%
Michael Thorbjornsen
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Harry Hall
50%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Sung-Jae Im
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Sam Burns
50%
Ricky Castillo
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Corey Conners
50%
Matt McCarty
50%
Rory McIlroy
50%
Keith Mitchell
50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Pierceson Coody
25%
Nicolas Echavarria
25%
Harris English
25%
Alex Fitzpatrick
25%
Ryan Gerard
25%
Chris Gotterup
25%
Shane Lowry
25%
Ludvig Aberg
25%
Aaron Rai
25%
Scottie Scheffler
25%
Alex Smalley
25%
Jordan L. Smith
25%
J.J. Spaun
25%
Sam Stevens
25%
Sepp Straka
25%
Sahith Theegala
25%
Justin Thomas
25%
Gary Woodland
25%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
25%
Ben Griffin
25%
Brian Harman
25%
Russell Henley
25%
Ryo Hisatsune
25%
Max Homa
25%
Viktor Hovland
25%
Si Woo Kim
25%
Tom Kim
25%
Jake Knapp
25%
Jackson Koivun
25%
Min Woo Lee
25%
Patrick Cantlay
25%
Eric Cole
25%
Maverick McNealy
25%
Alexander Noren
25%
JT Poston
25%
Steven Fisk 50%
Matt Fitzpatrick 50%
Tommy Fleetwood 50%
Rickie Fowler 50%
Steven Fisk
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
50%
Rickie Fowler
50%
Ryan Fox
50%
Aldrich Potgieter
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Hideki Matsuyama
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Patrick Rodgers
50%
Justin Rose
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Matthias Schmid
50%
Adam Scott
50%
Jordan Spieth
50%
Nick Taylor
50%
Michael Thorbjornsen
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Harry Hall
50%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Sung-Jae Im
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Sam Burns
50%
Ricky Castillo
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Corey Conners
50%
Matt McCarty
50%
Rory McIlroy
50%
Keith Mitchell
50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Pierceson Coody
25%
Nicolas Echavarria
25%
Harris English
25%
Alex Fitzpatrick
25%
Ryan Gerard
25%
Chris Gotterup
25%
Shane Lowry
25%
Ludvig Aberg
25%
Aaron Rai
25%
Scottie Scheffler
25%
Alex Smalley
25%
Jordan L. Smith
25%
J.J. Spaun
25%
Sam Stevens
25%
Sepp Straka
25%
Sahith Theegala
25%
Justin Thomas
25%
Gary Woodland
25%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
25%
Ben Griffin
25%
Brian Harman
25%
Russell Henley
25%
Ryo Hisatsune
25%
Max Homa
25%
Viktor Hovland
25%
Si Woo Kim
25%
Tom Kim
25%
Jake Knapp
25%
Jackson Koivun
25%
Min Woo Lee
25%
Patrick Cantlay
25%
Eric Cole
25%
Maverick McNealy
25%
Alexander Noren
25%
JT Poston
25%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A deep and talented PGA Tour field at TPC Southwind has produced evenly distributed probabilities around 25% for the second-round leader, reflecting broad parity after round one. Multiple players posted strong opening rounds, including Michael Thorbjornsen, Jordan Spieth, and Kurt Kitayama at 5-under, while others like Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Collin Morikawa bring elite ball-striking and recent form into contention. The course’s scoring opportunities, combined with similar skill profiles across the playoff field and limited separation after 18 holes, sustain the tight race. No dominant frontrunner has emerged, leaving outcomes sensitive to round-two execution and momentum shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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