Deportivo Maldonado holds the highest implied probability at 47.5% primarily due to its stronger league standing in sixth place compared to CA Progreso's position near the bottom at 14th in the Uruguay Primera Division. Recent form and squad depth further support this edge, with Maldonado demonstrating greater consistency in results during the current campaign. CA Progreso has shown vulnerability at home, including multiple defeats in recent outings, which contributes to its lower 23.5% probability. The draw option at 27.5% reflects the competitive nature of Uruguayan matches between mid- and lower-table sides, where tight contests and shared points occur frequently. Head-to-head results remain mixed historically, but current table position and momentum favor Maldonado as the consensus leader among traders.
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CA Progreso – Deportivo Maldonado
Moneyline
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$0 Vol.
First Team to Score
Reg Time$0 Vol.
CA Progreso Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Deportivo Maldonado Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
If CA Progreso wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.auf.org.uy/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...CA Progreso – Deportivo Maldonado
Moneyline
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$0 Vol.
First Team to Score
Reg Time$0 Vol.
CA Progreso Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Deportivo Maldonado Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
If CA Progreso wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.auf.org.uy/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Deportivo Maldonado holds the highest implied probability at 47.5% primarily due to its stronger league standing in sixth place compared to CA Progreso's position near the bottom at 14th in the Uruguay Primera Division. Recent form and squad depth further support this edge, with Maldonado demonstrating greater consistency in results during the current campaign. CA Progreso has shown vulnerability at home, including multiple defeats in recent outings, which contributes to its lower 23.5% probability. The draw option at 27.5% reflects the competitive nature of Uruguayan matches between mid- and lower-table sides, where tight contests and shared points occur frequently. Head-to-head results remain mixed historically, but current table position and momentum favor Maldonado as the consensus leader among traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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