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icon for Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

icon for Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.Sneako’s status as a native-born U.S. citizen born in New York City drives the market’s 96% implied probability against deportation in 2026. U.S. immigration law provides no removal pathway for birthright citizens absent rare denaturalization cases involving proven fraud, none of which apply here. Traders cite his Haitian-Filipino heritage and confirmed citizenship records as decisive barriers, rendering overseas incidents like his May 2026 Australian visa cancellation and lifetime ban irrelevant to domestic proceedings. Recent inflammatory remarks on New York in July 2026 drew public criticism and calls for accountability from figures like Alex Jones, yet generated no credible legal momentum. Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow, limited to unprecedented congressional changes or fabricated fraud claims lacking supporting evidence.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Volume
$576
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.Sneako’s status as a native-born U.S. citizen born in New York City drives the market’s 96% implied probability against deportation in 2026. U.S. immigration law provides no removal pathway for birthright citizens absent rare denaturalization cases involving proven fraud, none of which apply here. Traders cite his Haitian-Filipino heritage and confirmed citizenship records as decisive barriers, rendering overseas incidents like his May 2026 Australian visa cancellation and lifetime ban irrelevant to domestic proceedings. Recent inflammatory remarks on New York in July 2026 drew public criticism and calls for accountability from figures like Alex Jones, yet generated no credible legal momentum. Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow, limited to unprecedented congressional changes or fabricated fraud claims lacking supporting evidence.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Volume
$576
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Sneako be deported in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Sneako be deported in 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Sneako be deported in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Sneako be deported in 2026?" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Sneako be deported in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.