Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?

Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?

icon for Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?

Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert withdraws from or officially announces her withdrawal from the 2026 CO-04 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of her 2026 CO-04 Congressional campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or her official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Lauren Boebert secured the Republican nomination for Colorado’s 4th Congressional District without opposition in the June 30 primary and remains the general-election candidate on the November 3 ballot in a district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters. She has continued active campaigning, including recent public statements on district priorities, while forcefully denying a mid-September ethics filing alleging improper relationships with staff as a politically timed smear that fails to meet House committee procedural requirements. Trader consensus against dropout reflects her established ballot position, lack of primary challenge, and continued fundraising and public schedule. Late developments that could still shift odds include formal ethics committee action, health-related withdrawal, or an unforeseen campaign-ending revelation before ballots are finalized.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert withdraws from or officially announces her withdrawal from the 2026 CO-04 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of her 2026 CO-04 Congressional campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or her official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert withdraws from or officially announces her withdrawal from the 2026 CO-04 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of her 2026 CO-04 Congressional campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or her official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,652
End Date
Nov 2, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert withdraws from or officially announces her withdrawal from the 2026 CO-04 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of her 2026 CO-04 Congressional campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or her official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Lauren Boebert secured the Republican nomination for Colorado’s 4th Congressional District without opposition in the June 30 primary and remains the general-election candidate on the November 3 ballot in a district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters. She has continued active campaigning, including recent public statements on district priorities, while forcefully denying a mid-September ethics filing alleging improper relationships with staff as a politically timed smear that fails to meet House committee procedural requirements. Trader consensus against dropout reflects her established ballot position, lack of primary challenge, and continued fundraising and public schedule. Late developments that could still shift odds include formal ethics committee action, health-related withdrawal, or an unforeseen campaign-ending revelation before ballots are finalized.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert withdraws from or officially announces her withdrawal from the 2026 CO-04 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of her 2026 CO-04 Congressional campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or her official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert withdraws from or officially announces her withdrawal from the 2026 CO-04 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of her 2026 CO-04 Congressional campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or her official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,652
End Date
Nov 2, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.