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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Joshua Van 52%

Alexandre Pantoja 47%

Manel Kape 3.1%

Asu Almabayev <1%

Polymarket

$1,176,310 Vol.

Joshua Van 52%

Alexandre Pantoja 47%

Manel Kape 3.1%

Asu Almabayev <1%

Polymarket

$1,176,310 Vol.

Joshua Van

$5,938 Vol.

52%

Alexandre Pantoja

$7,818 Vol.

47%

Manel Kape

$2,553 Vol.

3%

Asu Almabayev

$58,174 Vol.

<1%

Tim Elliott

$304,852 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Moreno

$1,323 Vol.

<1%

Amir Albazi

$789,391 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuro Taira

$1,849 Vol.

<1%

Kyoji Horiguchi

$1,470 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Royval

$1,189 Vol.

<1%

Steve Erceg

$1,752 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Joshua Van captured the UFC flyweight title from Alexandre Pantoja via a first-round elbow injury stoppage at UFC 323 in late 2025, establishing the young contender as champion entering 2026. The pair’s scheduled rematch at UFC 331 on September 19 positions Pantoja for an immediate title opportunity to reclaim the belt he held through multiple defenses. With the bout just weeks away and both fighters ranked at the top of official divisional standings, trader consensus reflects near-even implied probabilities. Other ranked contenders including Manel Kape and Tatsuro Taira remain distant, as recent form, injury recovery timelines, and the high-stakes rematch dynamics leave the year-end outcome highly dependent on this and any subsequent defenses through December.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$1,176,310
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Joshua Van captured the UFC flyweight title from Alexandre Pantoja via a first-round elbow injury stoppage at UFC 323 in late 2025, establishing the young contender as champion entering 2026. The pair’s scheduled rematch at UFC 331 on September 19 positions Pantoja for an immediate title opportunity to reclaim the belt he held through multiple defenses. With the bout just weeks away and both fighters ranked at the top of official divisional standings, trader consensus reflects near-even implied probabilities. Other ranked contenders including Manel Kape and Tatsuro Taira remain distant, as recent form, injury recovery timelines, and the high-stakes rematch dynamics leave the year-end outcome highly dependent on this and any subsequent defenses through December.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$1,176,310
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Joshua Van" at 53%, followed by "Alexandre Pantoja" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Joshua Van" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.