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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

Alexander Volkanovski 49%

Movsar Evloev 44%

Steve Garcia 2.0%

Lerone Murphy 1.2%

Polymarket

$305,252 Vol.

Alexander Volkanovski 49%

Movsar Evloev 44%

Steve Garcia 2.0%

Lerone Murphy 1.2%

Polymarket

$305,252 Vol.

Alexander Volkanovski

$3,364 Vol.

49%

Movsar Evloev

$9,326 Vol.

44%

Steve Garcia

$1,255 Vol.

2%

Lerone Murphy

$2,020 Vol.

1%

Jean Silva

$3,830 Vol.

1%

Brian Ortega

$1,318 Vol.

1%

Arnold Allen

$1,314 Vol.

<1%

Yair Rodriguez

$896 Vol.

<1%

Aljamain Sterling

$142,370 Vol.

<1%

Youssef Zalal

$138,011 Vol.

<1%

Kevin Vallejos

$665 Vol.

<1%

Diego Lopes

$882 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski’s status as the reigning champion following his unanimous decision victory over Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in early 2026 anchors trader consensus around his 48.5% implied probability, while Movsar Evloev’s undefeated record and recent majority decision win over Lerone Murphy fuel his 43.5% positioning as the clear next challenger. Negotiations for a Volkanovski-Evloev title bout targeted for September or October 2026 highlight the division’s top-two logjam, with both fighters citing quick turnarounds and legacy implications. The tightly bunched probabilities reflect uncertainty over fight scheduling, potential injuries in a high-volume division, and the possibility of an interim title or late-year contender emergence if the matchup slips. Lower-ranked names like Steve Garcia or Jean Silva remain long shots absent major upsets or rapid ranking climbs.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$305,252
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski’s status as the reigning champion following his unanimous decision victory over Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in early 2026 anchors trader consensus around his 48.5% implied probability, while Movsar Evloev’s undefeated record and recent majority decision win over Lerone Murphy fuel his 43.5% positioning as the clear next challenger. Negotiations for a Volkanovski-Evloev title bout targeted for September or October 2026 highlight the division’s top-two logjam, with both fighters citing quick turnarounds and legacy implications. The tightly bunched probabilities reflect uncertainty over fight scheduling, potential injuries in a high-volume division, and the possibility of an interim title or late-year contender emergence if the matchup slips. Lower-ranked names like Steve Garcia or Jean Silva remain long shots absent major upsets or rapid ranking climbs.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$305,252
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 49%, followed by "Movsar Evloev" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $305.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Movsar Evloev" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.