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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Petr Yan 58%

Merab Dvalishvili 29%

Umar Nurmagomedov 3.9%

Sean O'Malley 3.7%

Polymarket

$449,991 Vol.

Petr Yan 58%

Merab Dvalishvili 29%

Umar Nurmagomedov 3.9%

Sean O'Malley 3.7%

Polymarket

$449,991 Vol.

Petr Yan

$5,890 Vol.

64%

Merab Dvalishvili

$5,209 Vol.

33%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$4,960 Vol.

4%

Sean O'Malley

$8,024 Vol.

4%

David Martinez

$110,593 Vol.

2%

Cory Sandhagen

$4,355 Vol.

1%

Aiemann Zahabi

$62,418 Vol.

1%

Song Yadong

$117,188 Vol.

1%

Marlon Vera

$64,964 Vol.

1%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$43,138 Vol.

<1%

Mario Bautista

$23,252 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan's unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025 to reclaim the bantamweight title stands as the primary driver behind his 58.5% implied probability for year-end 2026. The Russian's adjustments in striking volume and body work overcame Dvalishvili's relentless pressure and wrestling volume, which had powered three title defenses earlier in 2025. Dvalishvili holds the next-highest share at 33.5% on the strength of his proven durability and activity, though the rematch loss tempers immediate momentum. Umar Nurmagomedov at 3.6% and Sean O'Malley at 3.0% remain longer shots due to stylistic matchups and recent form, while the balance of the field reflects limited near-term paths to the belt amid a stacked division.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$449,991
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan's unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025 to reclaim the bantamweight title stands as the primary driver behind his 58.5% implied probability for year-end 2026. The Russian's adjustments in striking volume and body work overcame Dvalishvili's relentless pressure and wrestling volume, which had powered three title defenses earlier in 2025. Dvalishvili holds the next-highest share at 33.5% on the strength of his proven durability and activity, though the rematch loss tempers immediate momentum. Umar Nurmagomedov at 3.6% and Sean O'Malley at 3.0% remain longer shots due to stylistic matchups and recent form, while the balance of the field reflects limited near-term paths to the belt amid a stacked division.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$449,991
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Petr Yan" at 64%, followed by "Merab Dvalishvili" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $450K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Petr Yan" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.