Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement on August 7, 2026, establishing a mutual defense commitment under which an armed attack on one member counts as an attack on all, alongside expanded military cooperation. The pact was framed as open to additional participants committed to its principles amid regional security concerns following the 2026 Iran-related conflict. Egypt has stated it is conducting in-depth reviews of legal and constitutional implications, while Bangladesh has signaled positive interest aligned with national priorities; reports indicate Iran received an invitation now under consideration, though unconfirmed by official channels. Other Gulf states such as Qatar have been discussed as candidates. Early post-signing tests, including a Houthi strike on a Saudi facility, saw no collective response invoked, highlighting the need for institutional mechanisms before broader accession. Traders monitor diplomatic statements, technical negotiations, and any new expressions of interest through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
$45,502 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Oman
12%
Syria
11%
Iran
9%
Egypt
9%
Qatar
13%
Somalia
9%
Bahrain
8%
Lebanon
8%
United Arab Emirates
7%
Algeria
7%
Iraq
7%
Kuwait
7%
Yemen
6%
Sudan
6%
Morocco
6%
Jordan
5%
$45,502 Vol.
Oman
$1,201 Vol.
12%
Syria
$2,391 Vol.
11%
Iran
$1,319 Vol.
9%
Egypt
$2,998 Vol.
9%
Qatar
$1,776 Vol.
13%
Somalia
$4,415 Vol.
9%
Bahrain
$1,269 Vol.
8%
Lebanon
$2,384 Vol.
8%
United Arab Emirates
$20,118 Vol.
7%
Algeria
$0 Vol.
7%
Iraq
$1,531 Vol.
7%
Kuwait
$1,494 Vol.
7%
Yemen
$0 Vol.
6%
Sudan
$1,961 Vol.
6%
Morocco
$1,631 Vol.
6%
Jordan
$1,012 Vol.
5%
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement on August 7, 2026, establishing a mutual defense commitment under which an armed attack on one member counts as an attack on all, alongside expanded military cooperation. The pact was framed as open to additional participants committed to its principles amid regional security concerns following the 2026 Iran-related conflict. Egypt has stated it is conducting in-depth reviews of legal and constitutional implications, while Bangladesh has signaled positive interest aligned with national priorities; reports indicate Iran received an invitation now under consideration, though unconfirmed by official channels. Other Gulf states such as Qatar have been discussed as candidates. Early post-signing tests, including a Houthi strike on a Saudi facility, saw no collective response invoked, highlighting the need for institutional mechanisms before broader accession. Traders monitor diplomatic statements, technical negotiations, and any new expressions of interest through year-end.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Volume
$45,502End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement on August 7, 2026, establishing a mutual defense commitment under which an armed attack on one member counts as an attack on all, alongside expanded military cooperation. The pact was framed as open to additional participants committed to its principles amid regional security concerns following the 2026 Iran-related conflict. Egypt has stated it is conducting in-depth reviews of legal and constitutional implications, while Bangladesh has signaled positive interest aligned with national priorities; reports indicate Iran received an invitation now under consideration, though unconfirmed by official channels. Other Gulf states such as Qatar have been discussed as candidates. Early post-signing tests, including a Houthi strike on a Saudi facility, saw no collective response invoked, highlighting the need for institutional mechanisms before broader accession. Traders monitor diplomatic statements, technical negotiations, and any new expressions of interest through year-end.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45,502End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement on August 7, 2026, establishing a mutual defense commitment under which an armed attack on one member counts as an attack on all, alongside expanded military cooperation. The pact was framed as open to additional participants committed to its principles amid regional security concerns following the 2026 Iran-related conflict. Egypt has stated it is conducting in-depth reviews of legal and constitutional implications, while Bangladesh has signaled positive interest aligned with national priorities; reports indicate Iran received an invitation now under consideration, though unconfirmed by official channels. Other Gulf states such as Qatar have been discussed as candidates. Early post-signing tests, including a Houthi strike on a Saudi facility, saw no collective response invoked, highlighting the need for institutional mechanisms before broader accession. Traders monitor diplomatic statements, technical negotiations, and any new expressions of interest through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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