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Sports·UFC

Thomas Petersen – Guilherme Pat

Polymarket
Thomas Petersen
Thomas Petersen
Majority Decision
Guilherme Pat
Guilherme Pat
$314.80K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$297K Vol.

Totals

$15.4K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$156 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$111 Vol.

Petersen to win by KO/TKO?

$319 Vol.

Pat to win by KO/TKO?

$1.1K Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$336 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Thomas Petersen" if Thomas Petersen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thomas Petersen defeats Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Guilherme Pat defeats Thomas Petersen at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 18, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 18, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 18, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Undefeated Brazilian heavyweight prospect Guilherme “Kong” Pat (6-0, 1-0 UFC) entered UFC Vegas 115 prelims with a commanding 6'5" frame and 80-inch reach advantage over Thomas “The Train” Petersen (10-4), fueling trader consensus toward the stylistic edge in striking range and recent momentum from Pat's December 2025 UFC debut decision win over Allen Frye. Petersen, boasting seven knockout victories and grappling prowess, aimed to counter with power and experience despite mixed UFC results—a win over Don'Tale Mayes sandwiched between losses to Vitor Petrino and Shamil Gaziev. No official injury reports or weigh-in issues emerged in the 24-48 hours pre-fight at the Las Vegas Apex, heightening focus on Pat's size versus Petersen's finishing threat in this evenly matched heavyweight bout.

This market will resolve to "Thomas Petersen" if Thomas Petersen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026.

It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$314,801
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Thomas Petersen" if Thomas Petersen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Pat vs. Petersen” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Guilherme Pat and the Thomas Petersen, scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Petersen is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Pat at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Pat vs. Petersen” market has generated $314.8K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Pat vs. Petersen,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows GUI2 at 0¢ and THO4 at 100¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Pat vs. Petersen” show Thomas Petersen at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Guilherme Pat at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Pat vs. Petersen” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Thomas Petersen – Guilherme Pat

Polymarket
Thomas Petersen
Thomas Petersen
Majority Decision
Guilherme Pat
Guilherme Pat
$314.80K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$297K Vol.

Totals

$15.4K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$156 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$111 Vol.

Petersen to win by KO/TKO?

$319 Vol.

Pat to win by KO/TKO?

$1.1K Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$336 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Thomas Petersen" if Thomas Petersen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thomas Petersen defeats Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Guilherme Pat defeats Thomas Petersen at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 18, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 18, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 18, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Undefeated Brazilian heavyweight prospect Guilherme “Kong” Pat (6-0, 1-0 UFC) entered UFC Vegas 115 prelims with a commanding 6'5" frame and 80-inch reach advantage over Thomas “The Train” Petersen (10-4), fueling trader consensus toward the stylistic edge in striking range and recent momentum from Pat's December 2025 UFC debut decision win over Allen Frye. Petersen, boasting seven knockout victories and grappling prowess, aimed to counter with power and experience despite mixed UFC results—a win over Don'Tale Mayes sandwiched between losses to Vitor Petrino and Shamil Gaziev. No official injury reports or weigh-in issues emerged in the 24-48 hours pre-fight at the Las Vegas Apex, heightening focus on Pat's size versus Petersen's finishing threat in this evenly matched heavyweight bout.

This market will resolve to "Thomas Petersen" if Thomas Petersen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026.

It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$314,801
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Thomas Petersen" if Thomas Petersen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Pat vs. Petersen” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Guilherme Pat and the Thomas Petersen, scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Petersen is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Pat at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Pat vs. Petersen” market has generated $314.8K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Pat vs. Petersen,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows GUI2 at 0¢ and THO4 at 100¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Pat vs. Petersen” show Thomas Petersen at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Guilherme Pat at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Pat vs. Petersen” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.