SpaceX’s Version 3 Starships now incorporate dedicated docking ports, drogues, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye sensors on recent vehicles, directly enabling ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstrations targeted for Earth orbit in 2026. The successful July 2026 Flight 13 test of the upgraded design cleared key hurdles in reliability and performance, positioning the program for more complex orbital operations ahead of Flight 14 and subsequent missions. Trader sentiment reflects steady progress toward the first propellant-transfer attempt but also accounts for typical launch cadence risks, regulatory approvals, and the technical challenges of achieving precise autonomous docking between two large spacecraft.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$59,594 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
12%
December 31, 2027
61%
$59,594 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$38,807 Vol.
12%
December 31, 2027
$20,787 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s Version 3 Starships now incorporate dedicated docking ports, drogues, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye sensors on recent vehicles, directly enabling ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstrations targeted for Earth orbit in 2026. The successful July 2026 Flight 13 test of the upgraded design cleared key hurdles in reliability and performance, positioning the program for more complex orbital operations ahead of Flight 14 and subsequent missions. Trader sentiment reflects steady progress toward the first propellant-transfer attempt but also accounts for typical launch cadence risks, regulatory approvals, and the technical challenges of achieving precise autonomous docking between two large spacecraft.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$59,594End Date
Dec 31, 2028Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s Version 3 Starships now incorporate dedicated docking ports, drogues, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye sensors on recent vehicles, directly enabling ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstrations targeted for Earth orbit in 2026. The successful July 2026 Flight 13 test of the upgraded design cleared key hurdles in reliability and performance, positioning the program for more complex orbital operations ahead of Flight 14 and subsequent missions. Trader sentiment reflects steady progress toward the first propellant-transfer attempt but also accounts for typical launch cadence risks, regulatory approvals, and the technical challenges of achieving precise autonomous docking between two large spacecraft.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$59,594End Date
Dec 31, 2028Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX’s Version 3 Starships now incorporate dedicated docking ports, drogues, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye sensors on recent vehicles, directly enabling ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstrations targeted for Earth orbit in 2026. The successful July 2026 Flight 13 test of the upgraded design cleared key hurdles in reliability and performance, positioning the program for more complex orbital operations ahead of Flight 14 and subsequent missions. Trader sentiment reflects steady progress toward the first propellant-transfer attempt but also accounts for typical launch cadence risks, regulatory approvals, and the technical challenges of achieving precise autonomous docking between two large spacecraft.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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