Recent record closes near 7,799 reflect cooling producer price inflation and resilient corporate earnings, particularly AI-driven growth projected to lift S&P 500 EPS toward $350 for 2026. These developments have eased near-term rate-hike concerns, supporting equity valuations amid a Fed on hold and stable labor conditions. Trader-implied odds place the highest probability on finishes above 8,000, consistent with Wall Street targets ranging from 7,100 to 8,100 and expectations for double-digit EPS expansion. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could influence risk appetite through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated>$8,000 39%
$7,500-$8,000 23%
$7,000-$7,500 19%
$6,500-$7,000 13%
$39,699 Vol.
$39,699 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
6%
$6,000-$6,500
8%
$6,500-$7,000
13%
$7,000-$7,500
19%
$7,500-$8,000
23%
>$8,000
39%
>$8,000 39%
$7,500-$8,000 23%
$7,000-$7,500 19%
$6,500-$7,000 13%
$39,699 Vol.
$39,699 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
$20,498 Vol.
6%
$6,000-$6,500
$2,301 Vol.
8%
$6,500-$7,000
$4,408 Vol.
13%
$7,000-$7,500
$2,460 Vol.
19%
$7,500-$8,000
$4,015 Vol.
23%
>$8,000
$6,018 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent record closes near 7,799 reflect cooling producer price inflation and resilient corporate earnings, particularly AI-driven growth projected to lift S&P 500 EPS toward $350 for 2026. These developments have eased near-term rate-hike concerns, supporting equity valuations amid a Fed on hold and stable labor conditions. Trader-implied odds place the highest probability on finishes above 8,000, consistent with Wall Street targets ranging from 7,100 to 8,100 and expectations for double-digit EPS expansion. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could influence risk appetite through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Volume
$39,699End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent record closes near 7,799 reflect cooling producer price inflation and resilient corporate earnings, particularly AI-driven growth projected to lift S&P 500 EPS toward $350 for 2026. These developments have eased near-term rate-hike concerns, supporting equity valuations amid a Fed on hold and stable labor conditions. Trader-implied odds place the highest probability on finishes above 8,000, consistent with Wall Street targets ranging from 7,100 to 8,100 and expectations for double-digit EPS expansion. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could influence risk appetite through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$39,699End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent record closes near 7,799 reflect cooling producer price inflation and resilient corporate earnings, particularly AI-driven growth projected to lift S&P 500 EPS toward $350 for 2026. These developments have eased near-term rate-hike concerns, supporting equity valuations amid a Fed on hold and stable labor conditions. Trader-implied odds place the highest probability on finishes above 8,000, consistent with Wall Street targets ranging from 7,100 to 8,100 and expectations for double-digit EPS expansion. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could influence risk appetite through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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