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icon for Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Politics·Serbia

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

icon for Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Politics·Serbia

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 61%

Student List – Students Win 39%

Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! 1.4%

Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović 1.2%

Polymarket
NEW

$27,270 Vol.

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 61%

Student List – Students Win 39%

Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! 1.4%

Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović 1.2%

Polymarket
NEW

$27,270 Vol.

icon for Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

$9,607 Vol.

61%

Student List – Students Win

$12,505 Vol.

39%

icon for Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!

Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!

$570 Vol.

1%

Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović

$291 Vol.

1%

icon for Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić

Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić

$785 Vol.

1%

SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak

$878 Vol.

1%

icon for Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor

Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor

$651 Vol.

1%

European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš

$582 Vol.

1%

icon for Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)

Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)

$839 Vol.

<1%

icon for Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification

Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification

$574 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).Aleksandar Vučić’s United Serbia list holds the strongest trader consensus at 60.5 percent ahead of the October 25 snap parliamentary vote, reflecting the ruling Serbian Progressive Party’s entrenched organizational reach and recent polling showing it near or above an absolute majority. Student-led protests triggered by the 2024 Novi Sad railway station collapse have sustained pressure on the government and elevated the Student List – Students Win to 38.5 percent, as smaller opposition groups consolidated support behind the citizens’ initiative. Vučić’s September announcement of early elections and planned shift to a prime-ministerial role after resignation has framed the contest as a direct test of his coalition’s durability against anti-corruption sentiment. Minor lists tied to established parties or niche platforms remain below 2 percent, consistent with their limited projected seat shares and historical performance thresholds.

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election.

Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
Volume
$27,270
End Date
Oct 25, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 6:56 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).Aleksandar Vučić’s United Serbia list holds the strongest trader consensus at 60.5 percent ahead of the October 25 snap parliamentary vote, reflecting the ruling Serbian Progressive Party’s entrenched organizational reach and recent polling showing it near or above an absolute majority. Student-led protests triggered by the 2024 Novi Sad railway station collapse have sustained pressure on the government and elevated the Student List – Students Win to 38.5 percent, as smaller opposition groups consolidated support behind the citizens’ initiative. Vučić’s September announcement of early elections and planned shift to a prime-ministerial role after resignation has framed the contest as a direct test of his coalition’s durability against anti-corruption sentiment. Minor lists tied to established parties or niche platforms remain below 2 percent, consistent with their limited projected seat shares and historical performance thresholds.

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election.

Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
Volume
$27,270
End Date
Oct 25, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 6:56 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia" at 61%, followed by "Student List – Students Win" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner" has generated $27.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner" is "Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Student List – Students Win" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.