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Sports·NRL

NRL: Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles

icon for NRL: Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles
Sports·NRL

NRL: Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles

Aug 13

Aug 14

Aug 14

Aug 15

Aug 13

Aug 14

Aug 14

Aug 15

Newcastle Knights

67% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Newcastle Knights

67% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market refers to the NRL match between Newcastle Knights and Manly Sea Eagles, scheduled for August 22 2026. This market will resolve to "Newcastle Knights" if Newcastle Knights wins the match. It will resolve to "Manly Sea Eagles" if Manly Sea Eagles wins the match. Resolution is based on the final official result, including any extra time or golden point period if played. If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official NRL results.Newcastle Knights hold the edge in this NRL matchup at McDonald Jones Stadium, reflected in their 69.5% implied probability. Sitting sixth on the ladder with 30 points from 21 games and a +66 points differential, the Knights have built momentum through a strong home record and a recent 30-6 victory over the Broncos. Their rebuilt spine anchored by Kalyn Ponga provides attacking structure and direction, helping overcome earlier-season absences. Manly Sea Eagles, tenth with 24 points, have shown inconsistency and rely on threats like Tom Trbojevic amid ongoing injury concerns in the forward pack and backline. Historical trends and the Knights' superior recent form and venue advantage underpin trader consensus favoring the home side in what remains a competitive contest.

This market refers to the NRL match between Newcastle Knights and Manly Sea Eagles, scheduled for August 22 2026. This market will resolve to "Newcastle Knights" if Newcastle Knights wins the match. It will resolve to "Manly Sea Eagles" if Manly Sea Eagles wins the match. Resolution is based on the final official result, including any extra time or golden point period if played. If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official NRL results.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 29, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 2:50 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nrl.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market refers to the NRL match between Newcastle Knights and Manly Sea Eagles, scheduled for August 22 2026. This market will resolve to "Newcastle Knights" if Newcastle Knights wins the match. It will resolve to "Manly Sea Eagles" if Manly Sea Eagles wins the match. Resolution is based on the final official result, including any extra time or golden point period if played. If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official NRL results.
This market refers to the NRL match between Newcastle Knights and Manly Sea Eagles, scheduled for August 22 2026. This market will resolve to "Newcastle Knights" if Newcastle Knights wins the match. It will resolve to "Manly Sea Eagles" if Manly Sea Eagles wins the match. Resolution is based on the final official result, including any extra time or golden point period if played. If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official NRL results.Newcastle Knights hold the edge in this NRL matchup at McDonald Jones Stadium, reflected in their 69.5% implied probability. Sitting sixth on the ladder with 30 points from 21 games and a +66 points differential, the Knights have built momentum through a strong home record and a recent 30-6 victory over the Broncos. Their rebuilt spine anchored by Kalyn Ponga provides attacking structure and direction, helping overcome earlier-season absences. Manly Sea Eagles, tenth with 24 points, have shown inconsistency and rely on threats like Tom Trbojevic amid ongoing injury concerns in the forward pack and backline. Historical trends and the Knights' superior recent form and venue advantage underpin trader consensus favoring the home side in what remains a competitive contest.

This market refers to the NRL match between Newcastle Knights and Manly Sea Eagles, scheduled for August 22 2026. This market will resolve to "Newcastle Knights" if Newcastle Knights wins the match. It will resolve to "Manly Sea Eagles" if Manly Sea Eagles wins the match. Resolution is based on the final official result, including any extra time or golden point period if played. If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official NRL results.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 29, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 2:50 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nrl.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market refers to the NRL match between Newcastle Knights and Manly Sea Eagles, scheduled for August 22 2026. This market will resolve to "Newcastle Knights" if Newcastle Knights wins the match. It will resolve to "Manly Sea Eagles" if Manly Sea Eagles wins the match. Resolution is based on the final official result, including any extra time or golden point period if played. If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official NRL results.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NRL: Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Newcastle Knights vs. Manly Sea Eagles" at 67%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NRL: Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NRL: Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NRL: Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles" is "Newcastle Knights vs. Manly Sea Eagles" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NRL: Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.