Dexter Lawrence’s April 2026 trade from the New York Giants to the Cincinnati Bengals, in exchange for the No. 10 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, plus a one-year extension through 2028, established the Bengals as his clear destination heading into training camp. By mid-August, no roster moves, contract disputes, or injury reports have altered that status, producing overwhelming trader consensus around the Bengals at 99 percent implied probability. The move addressed Cincinnati’s interior defensive line needs while allowing Lawrence to remain an active, high-impact starter. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain narrow, such as a late preseason injury forcing a roster adjustment or an extremely rare pre-Week 1 trade, though both appear remote given the finalized deal and current roster stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCincinnati Bengals 99.0%
Kansas City Chiefs <1%
Baltimore Ravens <1%
Detroit Lions <1%
$334,259 Vol.
$334,259 Vol.
Cincinnati Bengals
99%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Baltimore Ravens
<1%
Detroit Lions
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Atlanta Falcons
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
San Francisco 49ers
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Chicago Bears
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Dallas Cowboys
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Cincinnati Bengals 99.0%
Kansas City Chiefs <1%
Baltimore Ravens <1%
Detroit Lions <1%
$334,259 Vol.
$334,259 Vol.
Cincinnati Bengals
99%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Baltimore Ravens
<1%
Detroit Lions
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Atlanta Falcons
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
San Francisco 49ers
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Chicago Bears
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Dallas Cowboys
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
If Dexter Lawrence is cut, retires, or is not on an NFL roster as of September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York Giants and/or the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Dexter Lawrence is cut, retires, or is not on an NFL roster as of September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York Giants and/or the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Dexter Lawrence’s April 2026 trade from the New York Giants to the Cincinnati Bengals, in exchange for the No. 10 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, plus a one-year extension through 2028, established the Bengals as his clear destination heading into training camp. By mid-August, no roster moves, contract disputes, or injury reports have altered that status, producing overwhelming trader consensus around the Bengals at 99 percent implied probability. The move addressed Cincinnati’s interior defensive line needs while allowing Lawrence to remain an active, high-impact starter. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain narrow, such as a late preseason injury forcing a roster adjustment or an extremely rare pre-Week 1 trade, though both appear remote given the finalized deal and current roster stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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