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icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Justin Herbert 13%

Lamar Jackson 12%

Josh Allen 11%

Joe Burrow 9.8%

Polymarket

$706,822 Vol.

Justin Herbert 13%

Lamar Jackson 12%

Josh Allen 11%

Joe Burrow 9.8%

Polymarket

$706,822 Vol.

Justin Herbert

$61,470 Vol.

13%

Lamar Jackson

$41,441 Vol.

12%

Josh Allen

$15,297 Vol.

11%

Joe Burrow

$21,858 Vol.

10%

Dak Prescott

$28,393 Vol.

10%

Drake Maye

$20,165 Vol.

9%

Caleb Williams

$21,550 Vol.

8%

Patrick Mahomes

$8,846 Vol.

6%

Matthew Stafford

$15,585 Vol.

5%

Jared Goff

$19,371 Vol.

4%

Brock Purdy

$19,430 Vol.

3%

Jordan Love

$11,968 Vol.

3%

Jalen Hurts

$13,690 Vol.

2%

Trevor Lawrence

$10,391 Vol.

2%

Bo Nix

$12,233 Vol.

2%

Baker Mayfield

$113,865 Vol.

2%

Jaxson Dart

$21,059 Vol.

1%

Jahmyr Gibbs

$15,982 Vol.

1%

Sam Darnold

$11,495 Vol.

1%

Saquon Barkley

$130,927 Vol.

<1%

Jaxson Smith-Njigba

$11,723 Vol.

<1%

Bijan Robinson

$7,187 Vol.

<1%

Christian McCaffrey

$11,301 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Henry

$8,354 Vol.

<1%

De'Von Achane

$7,715 Vol.

<1%

Puka Nacua

$6,025 Vol.

<1%

Justin Jefferson

$13,542 Vol.

<1%

Myles Garrett

$14,374 Vol.

<1%

Player J

$11,587 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NFL MVP market remains tightly bunched at the season opener because multiple quarterbacks enter with comparable supporting casts, recent form, and paths to standout statistical seasons. Justin Herbert sits atop the field after the Chargers added offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel and restored offensive-line health, positioning him for a potential career year in volume and efficiency. Lamar Jackson follows closely behind as he seeks a third MVP with Baltimore’s offensive weapons intact, while Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Dak Prescott, and Drake Maye each carry strong recent production or bounce-back narratives that keep implied probabilities clustered within a few points. Reigning MVP Matthew Stafford and established names like Patrick Mahomes add further depth, reflecting broad trader consensus that no single candidate holds a decisive edge before Week 1 games establish momentum.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$706,822
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NFL MVP market remains tightly bunched at the season opener because multiple quarterbacks enter with comparable supporting casts, recent form, and paths to standout statistical seasons. Justin Herbert sits atop the field after the Chargers added offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel and restored offensive-line health, positioning him for a potential career year in volume and efficiency. Lamar Jackson follows closely behind as he seeks a third MVP with Baltimore’s offensive weapons intact, while Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Dak Prescott, and Drake Maye each carry strong recent production or bounce-back narratives that keep implied probabilities clustered within a few points. Reigning MVP Matthew Stafford and established names like Patrick Mahomes add further depth, reflecting broad trader consensus that no single candidate holds a decisive edge before Week 1 games establish momentum.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$706,822
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Justin Herbert" at 13%, followed by "Lamar Jackson" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" has generated $706.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is "Justin Herbert" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lamar Jackson" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.