Multiple running backs enter the 2026 NFL season with comparable implied probabilities for leading in rushing touchdowns, reflecting the unpredictable distribution of goal-line carries and run-heavy schemes. Jahmyr Gibbs and Derrick Henry lead trader consensus near 14% and 13.5%, followed closely by Jonathan Taylor, Kyren Williams, and Josh Jacobs, as offensive line quality, quarterback protection, and coaching emphases on the ground game spread opportunity across contenders. Recent offseason roster adjustments and training camp usage reports have not produced a clear frontrunner, sustaining a tight race where form, health, and situational volume will determine the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJahmyr Gibbs 14%
Derrick Henry 14%
Jonathan Taylor 11%
Kyren Williams 10%
Jahmyr Gibbs
14%
Derrick Henry
14%
Jonathan Taylor
11%
Kyren Williams
10%
Josh Jacobs
10%
James Cook III
9%
Josh Allen
9%
Kenneth Walker III
7%
Christian McCaffrey
7%
Javonte Williams
7%
Saquon Barkley
6%
Bijan Robinson
5%
Jalen Hurts
4%
David Montgomery
3%
Cam Skattebo
3%
Ashton Jeanty
3%
Omarion Hampton
3%
Chase Brown
2%
Jeremiyah Love
2%
Quinshon Judkins
2%
Breece Hall
2%
Travis Etienne Jr.
2%
D'Andre Swift
2%
De'Von Achane
1%
TreVeyon Henderson
1%
J.K. Dobbins
1%
Zach Charbonnet
1%
Bucky Irving
1%
Joe Mixon
1%
James Connor
1%
Chuba Hubbard
1%
Jaxson Dart
1%
Rico Dowdle
1%
Kimani Vidal
1%
Jahmyr Gibbs 14%
Derrick Henry 14%
Jonathan Taylor 11%
Kyren Williams 10%
Jahmyr Gibbs
14%
Derrick Henry
14%
Jonathan Taylor
11%
Kyren Williams
10%
Josh Jacobs
10%
James Cook III
9%
Josh Allen
9%
Kenneth Walker III
7%
Christian McCaffrey
7%
Javonte Williams
7%
Saquon Barkley
6%
Bijan Robinson
5%
Jalen Hurts
4%
David Montgomery
3%
Cam Skattebo
3%
Ashton Jeanty
3%
Omarion Hampton
3%
Chase Brown
2%
Jeremiyah Love
2%
Quinshon Judkins
2%
Breece Hall
2%
Travis Etienne Jr.
2%
D'Andre Swift
2%
De'Von Achane
1%
TreVeyon Henderson
1%
J.K. Dobbins
1%
Zach Charbonnet
1%
Bucky Irving
1%
Joe Mixon
1%
James Connor
1%
Chuba Hubbard
1%
Jaxson Dart
1%
Rico Dowdle
1%
Kimani Vidal
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 3:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple running backs enter the 2026 NFL season with comparable implied probabilities for leading in rushing touchdowns, reflecting the unpredictable distribution of goal-line carries and run-heavy schemes. Jahmyr Gibbs and Derrick Henry lead trader consensus near 14% and 13.5%, followed closely by Jonathan Taylor, Kyren Williams, and Josh Jacobs, as offensive line quality, quarterback protection, and coaching emphases on the ground game spread opportunity across contenders. Recent offseason roster adjustments and training camp usage reports have not produced a clear frontrunner, sustaining a tight race where form, health, and situational volume will determine the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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