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Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner

icon for Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner
Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner

David Bailey 17%

Arvell Reese 15%

Rueben Bain Jr. 15%

Caleb Downs 15%

Polymarket
NEW

David Bailey 17%

Arvell Reese 15%

Rueben Bain Jr. 15%

Caleb Downs 15%

Polymarket
NEW

David Bailey

$1,287 Vol.

17%

Arvell Reese

$138 Vol.

15%

Rueben Bain Jr.

$1,179 Vol.

15%

Caleb Downs

$348 Vol.

15%

Sonny Styles

$155 Vol.

12%

Mansoor Delane

$23 Vol.

6%

Akheem Mesidor

$23 Vol.

4%

Malachi Lawrence

$23 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year market remains tightly contested among early favorites because multiple high draft picks landed in situations offering immediate snaps and statistical opportunities. David Bailey, the second overall selection by the Jets, holds the narrowest edge at 16.5% implied probability due to his pass-rush ceiling and favorable depth chart, followed closely by Arvell Reese (15%), Rueben Bain Jr. (14.5%), Caleb Downs (14.5%), and Sonny Styles (11.5%). These edge rushers and linebackers benefit from strong college production, versatile skill sets, and teams with clear paths to playing time, while lower-priced names like Mansoor Delane reflect cornerback challenges in earning consistent ball production. With training camp underway and no regular-season data yet, trader consensus reflects comparable upside across the group rather than any decisive separation.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,176
End Date
Feb 11, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 9:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year market remains tightly contested among early favorites because multiple high draft picks landed in situations offering immediate snaps and statistical opportunities. David Bailey, the second overall selection by the Jets, holds the narrowest edge at 16.5% implied probability due to his pass-rush ceiling and favorable depth chart, followed closely by Arvell Reese (15%), Rueben Bain Jr. (14.5%), Caleb Downs (14.5%), and Sonny Styles (11.5%). These edge rushers and linebackers benefit from strong college production, versatile skill sets, and teams with clear paths to playing time, while lower-priced names like Mansoor Delane reflect cornerback challenges in earning consistent ball production. With training camp underway and no regular-season data yet, trader consensus reflects comparable upside across the group rather than any decisive separation.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,176
End Date
Feb 11, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 9:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

NFL 2026
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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Bailey" at 17%, followed by "Arvell Reese" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner" is "David Bailey" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arvell Reese" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.