Trader consensus on the Nikkei 225 end-2026 close clusters around the 55,000–70,000 range, with the 60,000–65,000 bin leading at 29.1% implied probability, as the index trades near 68,700 amid AI and semiconductor strength. Steady 0.5–0.8% GDP growth, wage gains supporting consumption, and BOJ rate normalization to around 1% underpin moderate upside, while policy support under the Takaichi administration and exporter benefits from yen levels add momentum. Competitive probabilities reflect uncertainty over inflation trajectories, potential US policy spillovers, geopolitical energy risks, and corporate earnings dispersion, with key catalysts including upcoming earnings seasons, the year-end budget, and FOMC-BOJ coordination through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated60,000-65,000 32.8%
55,000-60,000 25%
65,000-70,000 23.8%
<55,000 18.1%
$10,022 Vol.
$10,022 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<55,000
18%
55,000-60,000
25%
60,000-65,000
29%
65,000-70,000
24%
70,000-75,000
16%
75,000-80,000
9%
80,000-85,000
6%
85,000+
6%
60,000-65,000 32.8%
55,000-60,000 25%
65,000-70,000 23.8%
<55,000 18.1%
$10,022 Vol.
$10,022 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<55,000
$1,173 Vol.
18%
55,000-60,000
$329 Vol.
25%
60,000-65,000
$668 Vol.
29%
65,000-70,000
$544 Vol.
24%
70,000-75,000
$3,990 Vol.
16%
75,000-80,000
$2,260 Vol.
9%
80,000-85,000
$475 Vol.
6%
85,000+
$584 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”Trader consensus on the Nikkei 225 end-2026 close clusters around the 55,000–70,000 range, with the 60,000–65,000 bin leading at 29.1% implied probability, as the index trades near 68,700 amid AI and semiconductor strength. Steady 0.5–0.8% GDP growth, wage gains supporting consumption, and BOJ rate normalization to around 1% underpin moderate upside, while policy support under the Takaichi administration and exporter benefits from yen levels add momentum. Competitive probabilities reflect uncertainty over inflation trajectories, potential US policy spillovers, geopolitical energy risks, and corporate earnings dispersion, with key catalysts including upcoming earnings seasons, the year-end budget, and FOMC-BOJ coordination through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$10,022End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”Trader consensus on the Nikkei 225 end-2026 close clusters around the 55,000–70,000 range, with the 60,000–65,000 bin leading at 29.1% implied probability, as the index trades near 68,700 amid AI and semiconductor strength. Steady 0.5–0.8% GDP growth, wage gains supporting consumption, and BOJ rate normalization to around 1% underpin moderate upside, while policy support under the Takaichi administration and exporter benefits from yen levels add momentum. Competitive probabilities reflect uncertainty over inflation trajectories, potential US policy spillovers, geopolitical energy risks, and corporate earnings dispersion, with key catalysts including upcoming earnings seasons, the year-end budget, and FOMC-BOJ coordination through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”
Volume
$10,022End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Nikkei 225 end-2026 close clusters around the 55,000–70,000 range, with the 60,000–65,000 bin leading at 29.1% implied probability, as the index trades near 68,700 amid AI and semiconductor strength. Steady 0.5–0.8% GDP growth, wage gains supporting consumption, and BOJ rate normalization to around 1% underpin moderate upside, while policy support under the Takaichi administration and exporter benefits from yen levels add momentum. Competitive probabilities reflect uncertainty over inflation trajectories, potential US policy spillovers, geopolitical energy risks, and corporate earnings dispersion, with key catalysts including upcoming earnings seasons, the year-end budget, and FOMC-BOJ coordination through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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