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Elections·Hungary

Next President of Hungary?

icon for Next President of Hungary?
Elections·Hungary

Next President of Hungary?

András Baka 99.8%

Adrienn Laczó <1%

Judit Polgár <1%

Péter Bárándy <1%

Polymarket

$94,237 Vol.

András Baka 99.8%

Adrienn Laczó <1%

Judit Polgár <1%

Péter Bárándy <1%

Polymarket

$94,237 Vol.

icon for András Baka

András Baka

$16,655 Vol.

100%

icon for Adrienn Laczó

Adrienn Laczó

$19,820 Vol.

<1%

icon for Judit Polgár

Judit Polgár

$1,844 Vol.

<1%

icon for Péter Bárándy

Péter Bárándy

$11,956 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tamás Fabiny

Tamás Fabiny

$3,038 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ignác Romsics

Ignác Romsics

$12,569 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ildikó Enyedi

Ildikó Enyedi

$1,770 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ágnes Forsthoffer

Ágnes Forsthoffer

$6,058 Vol.

<1%

icon for Botond Fülöp

Botond Fülöp

$20,527 Vol.

<1%

Hungary is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on or before August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Hungary by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Hungary. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.András Baka's near-certain position as Hungary's next president stems from his election by the National Assembly on August 11, 2026, where the ruling Tisza Party's supermajority delivered 140 votes in a secret ballot following a constitutional amendment that shortened the prior term. As a former Supreme Court president ousted in 2011, Baka was nominated earlier that month as a transitional figure aligned with the post-election shift under Prime Minister Péter Magyar, with inauguration set for August 19. The largely ceremonial role limits direct influence, yet the vote reflected consolidated parliamentary control after the April 2026 general election. Rare developments that could still alter the outcome before formal assumption of office include unforeseen legal challenges to the constitutional changes, health-related incapacity, or an unexpected resignation.

Hungary is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on or before August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Hungary by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Hungary. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$94,237
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 10:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Hungary is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on or before August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Hungary by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Hungary. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hungary is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on or before August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Hungary by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Hungary. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.András Baka's near-certain position as Hungary's next president stems from his election by the National Assembly on August 11, 2026, where the ruling Tisza Party's supermajority delivered 140 votes in a secret ballot following a constitutional amendment that shortened the prior term. As a former Supreme Court president ousted in 2011, Baka was nominated earlier that month as a transitional figure aligned with the post-election shift under Prime Minister Péter Magyar, with inauguration set for August 19. The largely ceremonial role limits direct influence, yet the vote reflected consolidated parliamentary control after the April 2026 general election. Rare developments that could still alter the outcome before formal assumption of office include unforeseen legal challenges to the constitutional changes, health-related incapacity, or an unexpected resignation.

Hungary is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on or before August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Hungary by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Hungary. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$94,237
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 10:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Hungary is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on or before August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Hungary by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Hungary. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next President of Hungary?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "András Baka" at 100%, followed by "Adrienn Laczó" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next President of Hungary?" has generated $94.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next President of Hungary?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next President of Hungary?" is "András Baka" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adrienn Laczó" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next President of Hungary?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.