Arizona State enters the 2026 Big 12 campaign under fourth-year head coach Kenny Dillingham following an 8-5 finish and 6-3 conference mark in 2025. The primary variable shaping trader views on the 6.5 win total is the quarterback transition after starter Sam Leavitt transferred to LSU; Kentucky transfer Cutter Boley, who started 11 games as a redshirt freshman, is the clear frontrunner entering fall camp at Camp Tontozona, though a true freshman challenger adds uncertainty. A brutal schedule, lingering questions across the roster after heavy turnover, and recent injury history further temper expectations despite Dillingham’s track record developing signal-callers and the program’s transfer-portal additions. Preseason depth-chart clarity and early nonconference results will likely drive any near-term shifts in implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Dec 12, 2026
4.5+ Wins
74%
5.5+ Wins
34%
6.5+ Wins
48%
7.5+ Wins
21%
8.5+ Wins
8%
$20 Vol.
4.5+ Wins
$20 Vol.
74%
5.5+ Wins
$0 Vol.
34%
6.5+ Wins
$0 Vol.
48%
7.5+ Wins
$0 Vol.
21%
8.5+ Wins
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Arizona State enters the 2026 Big 12 campaign under fourth-year head coach Kenny Dillingham following an 8-5 finish and 6-3 conference mark in 2025. The primary variable shaping trader views on the 6.5 win total is the quarterback transition after starter Sam Leavitt transferred to LSU; Kentucky transfer Cutter Boley, who started 11 games as a redshirt freshman, is the clear frontrunner entering fall camp at Camp Tontozona, though a true freshman challenger adds uncertainty. A brutal schedule, lingering questions across the roster after heavy turnover, and recent injury history further temper expectations despite Dillingham’s track record developing signal-callers and the program’s transfer-portal additions. Preseason depth-chart clarity and early nonconference results will likely drive any near-term shifts in implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Dec 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Arizona State enters the 2026 Big 12 campaign under fourth-year head coach Kenny Dillingham following an 8-5 finish and 6-3 conference mark in 2025. The primary variable shaping trader views on the 6.5 win total is the quarterback transition after starter Sam Leavitt transferred to LSU; Kentucky transfer Cutter Boley, who started 11 games as a redshirt freshman, is the clear frontrunner entering fall camp at Camp Tontozona, though a true freshman challenger adds uncertainty. A brutal schedule, lingering questions across the roster after heavy turnover, and recent injury history further temper expectations despite Dillingham’s track record developing signal-callers and the program’s transfer-portal additions. Preseason depth-chart clarity and early nonconference results will likely drive any near-term shifts in implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20End Date
Dec 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Arizona State enters the 2026 Big 12 campaign under fourth-year head coach Kenny Dillingham following an 8-5 finish and 6-3 conference mark in 2025. The primary variable shaping trader views on the 6.5 win total is the quarterback transition after starter Sam Leavitt transferred to LSU; Kentucky transfer Cutter Boley, who started 11 games as a redshirt freshman, is the clear frontrunner entering fall camp at Camp Tontozona, though a true freshman challenger adds uncertainty. A brutal schedule, lingering questions across the roster after heavy turnover, and recent injury history further temper expectations despite Dillingham’s track record developing signal-callers and the program’s transfer-portal additions. Preseason depth-chart clarity and early nonconference results will likely drive any near-term shifts in implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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