The tightly bunched probabilities for MLS 2026 Defender of the Year reflect a season-long race without a dominant frontrunner midway through August, as multiple center backs post strong defensive metrics across competitive clubs. Daniel Munie’s All-Star nod and consistent play for San Jose, alongside Jackson Ragen’s contributions anchoring Seattle’s back line and Justen Glad’s steady performances at Real Salt Lake, keep early favorites in contention. Jackson Ragen, Micael, Robert Voloder, and others benefit from clean-sheet trends, high duel-win rates, and team positioning in conference standings, while no single defender has separated statistically. This parity stems from balanced roster depth, varied schedule difficulty, and the award’s emphasis on overall impact rather than isolated highlights.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAaron Long 49.1%
Jackson Ragen 32.0%
Robert Voloder 30%
Andreas Maxsø 29.1%
$901,394 Vol.
$901,394 Vol.
Aaron Long
25%
Jackson Ragen
32%
Robert Voloder
30%
Andreas Maxsø
29%
Walker Zimmerman
28%
Robin Jansson
28%
Micael
28%
Rodrigues
28%
Mauricio Pineda
28%
Miguel Tapias
27%
Noah Eile
27%
Joel Waterman
26%
Birk Risa
25%
Andrés Reyes
8%
Dany Rosero
6%
Sebastien Ibeagha
5%
Sigurd Rosted
5%
Daniel Munie
4%
Donovan Pines
4%
Nkosi Tafari
4%
Henry Kessler
4%
Brendan Hines-Ike
4%
Maximiliano Falcón
4%
Rudy Camacho
4%
Matt Miazga
4%
Jalen Neal
4%
Sean Nealis
4%
Erik Sviatchenko
4%
Lucas Bartlett
3%
Oleksandr Svatok
3%
Christopher McVey
2%
David Brekalo
2%
Andrew Privett
1%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
1%
Jack Elliott
1%
Ranko Veselinović
1%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Michael Boxall
1%
Stian Gregersen
1%
Yevhen Cheberko
1%
Joakim Nilsson
1%
Tomás Avilés
1%
Eddie Segura
1%
Lalas Abubakar
1%
Marcelo Silva
1%
Thiago Martins
1%
Kevin Long
1%
Miles Robinson
1%
Enea Mihaj
<1%
Tim Parker
<1%
Maya Yoshida
<1%
Adilson Malanda
11%
Carlos Terán
<1%
Tristan Blackmon
28%
Zac McGraw
27%
Justen Glad
27%
Dave Romney
27%
Jakob Glesnes
29%
Kamal Miller
29%
Jack Maher
29%
Aaron Long 49.1%
Jackson Ragen 32.0%
Robert Voloder 30%
Andreas Maxsø 29.1%
$901,394 Vol.
$901,394 Vol.
Aaron Long
25%
Jackson Ragen
32%
Robert Voloder
30%
Andreas Maxsø
29%
Walker Zimmerman
28%
Robin Jansson
28%
Micael
28%
Rodrigues
28%
Mauricio Pineda
28%
Miguel Tapias
27%
Noah Eile
27%
Joel Waterman
26%
Birk Risa
25%
Andrés Reyes
8%
Dany Rosero
6%
Sebastien Ibeagha
5%
Sigurd Rosted
5%
Daniel Munie
4%
Donovan Pines
4%
Nkosi Tafari
4%
Henry Kessler
4%
Brendan Hines-Ike
4%
Maximiliano Falcón
4%
Rudy Camacho
4%
Matt Miazga
4%
Jalen Neal
4%
Sean Nealis
4%
Erik Sviatchenko
4%
Lucas Bartlett
3%
Oleksandr Svatok
3%
Christopher McVey
2%
David Brekalo
2%
Andrew Privett
1%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
1%
Jack Elliott
1%
Ranko Veselinović
1%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Michael Boxall
1%
Stian Gregersen
1%
Yevhen Cheberko
1%
Joakim Nilsson
1%
Tomás Avilés
1%
Eddie Segura
1%
Lalas Abubakar
1%
Marcelo Silva
1%
Thiago Martins
1%
Kevin Long
1%
Miles Robinson
1%
Enea Mihaj
<1%
Tim Parker
<1%
Maya Yoshida
<1%
Adilson Malanda
11%
Carlos Terán
<1%
Tristan Blackmon
28%
Zac McGraw
27%
Justen Glad
27%
Dave Romney
27%
Jakob Glesnes
29%
Kamal Miller
29%
Jack Maher
29%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tightly bunched probabilities for MLS 2026 Defender of the Year reflect a season-long race without a dominant frontrunner midway through August, as multiple center backs post strong defensive metrics across competitive clubs. Daniel Munie’s All-Star nod and consistent play for San Jose, alongside Jackson Ragen’s contributions anchoring Seattle’s back line and Justen Glad’s steady performances at Real Salt Lake, keep early favorites in contention. Jackson Ragen, Micael, Robert Voloder, and others benefit from clean-sheet trends, high duel-win rates, and team positioning in conference standings, while no single defender has separated statistically. This parity stems from balanced roster depth, varied schedule difficulty, and the award’s emphasis on overall impact rather than isolated highlights.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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