The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 40% for the 2026 MLS Coach of the Year reflect a wide-open race midway through the season, with no single standout after strong early performances from multiple clubs. Gregg Berhalter, Jesper Sørensen, Henrik Rydström, and Yoann Damet lead the trader consensus due to their teams' competitive positioning in conference standings, effective roster integration, and tactical adjustments that have produced consistent results. Recent form, home/away splits, and head-to-head trends continue to shape sentiment, while injury management and schedule strength keep several other candidates within striking distance of the front-runners. This distribution underscores the league's depth and the unpredictable nature of outcomes driven by weekly results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJesper Sørensen 41.6%
Henrik Rydström 40.8%
Gregg Berhalter 40.3%
Pablo Mastroeni 39.7%
$81,539 Vol.
$81,539 Vol.
Jesper Sørensen
42%
Henrik Rydström
41%
Gregg Berhalter
40%
Pablo Mastroeni
40%
Robin Fraser
36%
Ben Olsen
36%
Javier Mascherano
35%
Dean Smith
35%
René Weiler
34%
Bradley Carnell
12%
Phil Neville
5%
Pascal Jansen
5%
Eric Quill
5%
Raphael Wicky
4%
Michael Bradley
3%
Marc Dos Santos
23%
Nico Estévez
2%
Gerardo “Tata” Martino
26%
Pat Noonan
1%
Marko Mitrović
10%
Cameron Knowles
1%
Matt Wells
34%
B.J. Callaghan
40%
Mikey Varas
35%
Marco Donadel
35%
Greg Vanney
34%
Óscar Pareja
34%
Bruce Arena
39%
Brian Schmetzer
26%
Yoann Damet
40%
Jesper Sørensen 41.6%
Henrik Rydström 40.8%
Gregg Berhalter 40.3%
Pablo Mastroeni 39.7%
$81,539 Vol.
$81,539 Vol.
Jesper Sørensen
42%
Henrik Rydström
41%
Gregg Berhalter
40%
Pablo Mastroeni
40%
Robin Fraser
36%
Ben Olsen
36%
Javier Mascherano
35%
Dean Smith
35%
René Weiler
34%
Bradley Carnell
12%
Phil Neville
5%
Pascal Jansen
5%
Eric Quill
5%
Raphael Wicky
4%
Michael Bradley
3%
Marc Dos Santos
23%
Nico Estévez
2%
Gerardo “Tata” Martino
26%
Pat Noonan
1%
Marko Mitrović
10%
Cameron Knowles
1%
Matt Wells
34%
B.J. Callaghan
40%
Mikey Varas
35%
Marco Donadel
35%
Greg Vanney
34%
Óscar Pareja
34%
Bruce Arena
39%
Brian Schmetzer
26%
Yoann Damet
40%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 40% for the 2026 MLS Coach of the Year reflect a wide-open race midway through the season, with no single standout after strong early performances from multiple clubs. Gregg Berhalter, Jesper Sørensen, Henrik Rydström, and Yoann Damet lead the trader consensus due to their teams' competitive positioning in conference standings, effective roster integration, and tactical adjustments that have produced consistent results. Recent form, home/away splits, and head-to-head trends continue to shape sentiment, while injury management and schedule strength keep several other candidates within striking distance of the front-runners. This distribution underscores the league's depth and the unpredictable nature of outcomes driven by weekly results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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