Both Georgia senators remain firmly in office with no announced plans to depart before the end of 2026. Jon Ossoff, whose term ends in January 2027, is actively campaigning for re-election on the November 2026 ballot after winning his Democratic primary, bolstered by strong fundraising and visible attacks on the Trump administration. Raphael Warnock faces no election until 2028 and continues routine Senate work alongside Ossoff. Trader consensus at 96% reflects the absence of resignations, health developments, scandals, or institutional pressures that have historically prompted early exits, plus incumbents' typical resilience through election cycles. Late shifts could still arise from unforeseen personal events or a surprise primary or general-election outcome that alters seating timelines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
4% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.Both Georgia senators remain firmly in office with no announced plans to depart before the end of 2026. Jon Ossoff, whose term ends in January 2027, is actively campaigning for re-election on the November 2026 ballot after winning his Democratic primary, bolstered by strong fundraising and visible attacks on the Trump administration. Raphael Warnock faces no election until 2028 and continues routine Senate work alongside Ossoff. Trader consensus at 96% reflects the absence of resignations, health developments, scandals, or institutional pressures that have historically prompted early exits, plus incumbents' typical resilience through election cycles. Late shifts could still arise from unforeseen personal events or a surprise primary or general-election outcome that alters seating timelines.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Volume
$1,074End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.Both Georgia senators remain firmly in office with no announced plans to depart before the end of 2026. Jon Ossoff, whose term ends in January 2027, is actively campaigning for re-election on the November 2026 ballot after winning his Democratic primary, bolstered by strong fundraising and visible attacks on the Trump administration. Raphael Warnock faces no election until 2028 and continues routine Senate work alongside Ossoff. Trader consensus at 96% reflects the absence of resignations, health developments, scandals, or institutional pressures that have historically prompted early exits, plus incumbents' typical resilience through election cycles. Late shifts could still arise from unforeseen personal events or a surprise primary or general-election outcome that alters seating timelines.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Volume
$1,074End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Both Georgia senators remain firmly in office with no announced plans to depart before the end of 2026. Jon Ossoff, whose term ends in January 2027, is actively campaigning for re-election on the November 2026 ballot after winning his Democratic primary, bolstered by strong fundraising and visible attacks on the Trump administration. Raphael Warnock faces no election until 2028 and continues routine Senate work alongside Ossoff. Trader consensus at 96% reflects the absence of resignations, health developments, scandals, or institutional pressures that have historically prompted early exits, plus incumbents' typical resilience through election cycles. Late shifts could still arise from unforeseen personal events or a surprise primary or general-election outcome that alters seating timelines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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