**Jack Doherty, the YouTuber and streamer, faces low odds of prison time primarily because he entered a deferred prosecution agreement earlier in 2026 on the key charges stemming from his November 2025 Miami Beach arrest.** Prosecutors dropped the marijuana possession count, leaving the controlled substance (initially reported as amphetamine, referenced as cocaine in court) and resisting arrest without violence allegations. Under the agreement, successful completion typically results in dismissed charges and no conviction, which aligns with the market’s 89% implied probability for no prison time. The modest probabilities for 2–5 years (7.4%) or lesser terms reflect residual risks if Doherty violates program terms or if prosecutors pursue maximum penalties on the felony count. No major new developments, such as failed compliance or additional charges, have surfaced in recent months to shift trader sentiment away from the agreement’s protective structure. The next court milestones or any compliance updates could serve as near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJack Doherty Prison Time?
Jack Doherty Prison Time?
No Prison Time 88.3%
2-5 Years 7.5%
<2 Years 3.2%
5+ Years 2.5%
$22,498 Vol.
$22,498 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
No Prison Time
88%
<2 Years
3%
2-5 Years
7%
5+ Years
2%
No Prison Time 88.3%
2-5 Years 7.5%
<2 Years 3.2%
5+ Years 2.5%
$22,498 Vol.
$22,498 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
No Prison Time
$13,288 Vol.
88%
<2 Years
$3,318 Vol.
3%
2-5 Years
$2,416 Vol.
7%
5+ Years
$3,476 Vol.
2%
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jack Doherty, the YouTuber and streamer, faces low odds of prison time primarily because he entered a deferred prosecution agreement earlier in 2026 on the key charges stemming from his November 2025 Miami Beach arrest.** Prosecutors dropped the marijuana possession count, leaving the controlled substance (initially reported as amphetamine, referenced as cocaine in court) and resisting arrest without violence allegations. Under the agreement, successful completion typically results in dismissed charges and no conviction, which aligns with the market’s 89% implied probability for no prison time.
The modest probabilities for 2–5 years (7.4%) or lesser terms reflect residual risks if Doherty violates program terms or if prosecutors pursue maximum penalties on the felony count. No major new developments, such as failed compliance or additional charges, have surfaced in recent months to shift trader sentiment away from the agreement’s protective structure. The next court milestones or any compliance updates could serve as near-term catalysts.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$22,498End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jack Doherty, the YouTuber and streamer, faces low odds of prison time primarily because he entered a deferred prosecution agreement earlier in 2026 on the key charges stemming from his November 2025 Miami Beach arrest.** Prosecutors dropped the marijuana possession count, leaving the controlled substance (initially reported as amphetamine, referenced as cocaine in court) and resisting arrest without violence allegations. Under the agreement, successful completion typically results in dismissed charges and no conviction, which aligns with the market’s 89% implied probability for no prison time.
The modest probabilities for 2–5 years (7.4%) or lesser terms reflect residual risks if Doherty violates program terms or if prosecutors pursue maximum penalties on the felony count. No major new developments, such as failed compliance or additional charges, have surfaced in recent months to shift trader sentiment away from the agreement’s protective structure. The next court milestones or any compliance updates could serve as near-term catalysts.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,498End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Jack Doherty, the YouTuber and streamer, faces low odds of prison time primarily because he entered a deferred prosecution agreement earlier in 2026 on the key charges stemming from his November 2025 Miami Beach arrest.** Prosecutors dropped the marijuana possession count, leaving the controlled substance (initially reported as amphetamine, referenced as cocaine in court) and resisting arrest without violence allegations. Under the agreement, successful completion typically results in dismissed charges and no conviction, which aligns with the market’s 89% implied probability for no prison time. The modest probabilities for 2–5 years (7.4%) or lesser terms reflect residual risks if Doherty violates program terms or if prosecutors pursue maximum penalties on the felony count. No major new developments, such as failed compliance or additional charges, have surfaced in recent months to shift trader sentiment away from the agreement’s protective structure. The next court milestones or any compliance updates could serve as near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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