Hajduk Split's commanding position atop the HNL table—second with 61 points and a +22 goal difference—combined with their dominant head-to-head record (18 wins, 6 losses, 4 draws vs. Varaždin) and home strength at Stadion Poljud drive trader consensus to price them at 63.5% implied probability for victory. Despite a recent winless run in three matches (draws and loss) and key absences including injuries to Ante Rebić, Filip Krovinović, Ismaël Diallo, and suspension for Ron Raçi, their league-leading 14 clean sheets sustain favoritism. Varaždin's solid recent form—three wins in four, including against Rijeka—and third-place standing on 47 points with a competitive away record justify 16% upset potential, while 22% on draw reflects tight recent 1-1 H2H encounter. Mild 20°C weather poses no issues.
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HNK Hajduk Split – NK Varaždin
Moneyline
Reg Time$540 Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$143 Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$1.9K Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$200 Vol.
If HNK Hajduk Split wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 8:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://hnl.hr/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...HNK Hajduk Split – NK Varaždin
Moneyline
Reg Time$540 Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$143 Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$1.9K Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$200 Vol.
If HNK Hajduk Split wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 8:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://hnl.hr/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hajduk Split's commanding position atop the HNL table—second with 61 points and a +22 goal difference—combined with their dominant head-to-head record (18 wins, 6 losses, 4 draws vs. Varaždin) and home strength at Stadion Poljud drive trader consensus to price them at 63.5% implied probability for victory. Despite a recent winless run in three matches (draws and loss) and key absences including injuries to Ante Rebić, Filip Krovinović, Ismaël Diallo, and suspension for Ron Raçi, their league-leading 14 clean sheets sustain favoritism. Varaždin's solid recent form—three wins in four, including against Rijeka—and third-place standing on 47 points with a competitive away record justify 16% upset potential, while 22% on draw reflects tight recent 1-1 H2H encounter. Mild 20°C weather poses no issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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