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How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?

icon for How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?

How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?

$95,272 Vol.

Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket

$95,272 Vol.

Polymarket

>$140B

$16,296 Vol.

72%

>$160B

$36,497 Vol.

67%

>$180B

$21,106 Vol.

48%

>$200B

$21,372 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sourcesUS sports betting handle reached a record $166.9 billion in 2025, up 11% year over year, with mobile platforms accounting for over 80% of volume and same-game parlays lifting hold rates above 10%. Through Q1 2026, handle exceeded $40 billion, but May figures showed a modest 0.4–2.7% dip (to roughly $12 billion nationally) as CFTC-regulated prediction markets captured substantial sports-related volume outside state tax frameworks. New state launches remain limited while mature markets like New York, Illinois, and New Jersey continue to dominate. The approaching NFL and college football seasons, combined with in-play betting adoption, are expected to drive the bulk of second-half volume, though broader economic conditions and any regulatory shifts on event contracts could influence the final annual total.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sources
Volume
$95,272
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 8, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sources
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sourcesUS sports betting handle reached a record $166.9 billion in 2025, up 11% year over year, with mobile platforms accounting for over 80% of volume and same-game parlays lifting hold rates above 10%. Through Q1 2026, handle exceeded $40 billion, but May figures showed a modest 0.4–2.7% dip (to roughly $12 billion nationally) as CFTC-regulated prediction markets captured substantial sports-related volume outside state tax frameworks. New state launches remain limited while mature markets like New York, Illinois, and New Jersey continue to dominate. The approaching NFL and college football seasons, combined with in-play betting adoption, are expected to drive the bulk of second-half volume, though broader economic conditions and any regulatory shifts on event contracts could influence the final annual total.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sources
Volume
$95,272
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 8, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sources

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">$140B" at 72%, followed by ">$160B" at 67%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?" has generated $95.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?" is ">$140B" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">$160B" at 67%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.