Edi Rama secured a decisive fourth term after his Socialist Party captured 83 of 140 seats in Albania’s May 2025 parliamentary elections, extending the government mandate through 2029 and eliminating near-term routes to snap elections or parliamentary removal. With the next scheduled vote years away, traders assign only an 18% implied probability that Rama leaves office during 2026. Recent protests over development projects have not altered the parliamentary balance or triggered institutional challenges, while the weakened opposition lacks credible mechanisms to force an early exit. Rama continues prioritizing EU accession milestones as the administration’s core agenda, reinforcing expectations of continuity absent unforeseen health, legal, or coalition developments.