Build-A-Bear Workshop's strong track record of beating earnings expectations underpins the 86.5% market-implied probability for an upside surprise in its fiscal Q2 2026 results, scheduled for release on August 27. The company delivered notable EPS outperformance in prior quarters, including a $1.03 actual versus $0.76 consensus in Q1, alongside revenue growth and guidance increases that reflect expanding store counts, digital sales, and margin expansion. Traders appear to price in continued momentum from these fundamentals, supported by a trailing EPS of $4.27 and analyst targets well above current levels, though any shortfall in same-store sales or consumer spending could still introduce downside risk ahead of the report.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Build-A-Bear Workshop releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Build-A-Bear Workshop releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Build-A-Bear Workshop's strong track record of beating earnings expectations underpins the 86.5% market-implied probability for an upside surprise in its fiscal Q2 2026 results, scheduled for release on August 27. The company delivered notable EPS outperformance in prior quarters, including a $1.03 actual versus $0.76 consensus in Q1, alongside revenue growth and guidance increases that reflect expanding store counts, digital sales, and margin expansion. Traders appear to price in continued momentum from these fundamentals, supported by a trailing EPS of $4.27 and analyst targets well above current levels, though any shortfall in same-store sales or consumer spending could still introduce downside risk ahead of the report.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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