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Sports·ATP Tour

Sebastian Baez – Hubert Hurkacz

Polymarket
S2
S. BaezS. Baez
60-
H. HurkaczH. Hurkacz
45-
$47.69K Vol.Polymarket
NEW

Combos

Hurkacz's first, baez finish
Baez first hurkacz last

Moneyline

$45.7K Vol.

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins set 2. It will resolve to “Hurkacz” if Hubert Hurkacz wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins the first set. It will resolve to “Hurkacz” if Hubert Hurkacz wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Baez" if Sebastian Baez wins by 2 or more sets than Hubert Hurkacz, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hurkacz." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Sebastian Baez in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Hurkacz" if Hubert Hurkacz wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Baez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Baez." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.Hubert Hurkacz enters the Cancun Challenger final as the clear trader favorite on the hard courts, where his superior serve and 144-99 career record stand out against Sebastian Baez's 32-57 mark. The Pole, a former world No. 6 returning from injury, has produced 12 aces in his semifinal win and leads the head-to-head 1-0 from their 2024 clay meeting. Baez, the top seed and clay-court specialist ranked No. 53, arrives on a three-match win streak with straight-set victories but faces a stylistic mismatch on this surface. Both players hold identical 7-3 records over their last 10 matches, yet Hurkacz's hard-court titles and efficiency in big moments shape consensus pricing ahead of the August 24 title match, his final tune-up before the US Open.

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Hubert Hurkacz.

This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Sebastian Baez.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$47,686
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

The “H. Hurkacz vs. S. Baez” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the ATP Tour game between the Hubert Hurkacz and the Sebastian Baez, scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where H. Hurkacz is currently priced at 71¢ (71% implied probability) and S. Baez at 30¢ (30%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “H. Hurkacz vs. S. Baez” market has generated $47.7K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “H. Hurkacz vs. S. Baez,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows HURKACZ at 71¢ and BAEZ at 30¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “H. Hurkacz vs. S. Baez” show Hubert Hurkacz at 71¢ (71% implied probability) and Sebastian Baez at 30¢ (30%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “H. Hurkacz vs. S. Baez” market resolves based on the official final score of the ATP Tour game as reported by ATP Tour’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·ATP Tour

Sebastian Baez – Hubert Hurkacz

Polymarket
S2
S. BaezS. Baez
60-
H. HurkaczH. Hurkacz
45-
$47.69K Vol.Polymarket
NEW

Combos

Hurkacz's first, baez finish
Baez first hurkacz last

Moneyline

$45.7K Vol.

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins set 2. It will resolve to “Hurkacz” if Hubert Hurkacz wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins the first set. It will resolve to “Hurkacz” if Hubert Hurkacz wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Baez" if Sebastian Baez wins by 2 or more sets than Hubert Hurkacz, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hurkacz." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Sebastian Baez in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Hurkacz" if Hubert Hurkacz wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Baez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Baez." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.Hubert Hurkacz enters the Cancun Challenger final as the clear trader favorite on the hard courts, where his superior serve and 144-99 career record stand out against Sebastian Baez's 32-57 mark. The Pole, a former world No. 6 returning from injury, has produced 12 aces in his semifinal win and leads the head-to-head 1-0 from their 2024 clay meeting. Baez, the top seed and clay-court specialist ranked No. 53, arrives on a three-match win streak with straight-set victories but faces a stylistic mismatch on this surface. Both players hold identical 7-3 records over their last 10 matches, yet Hurkacz's hard-court titles and efficiency in big moments shape consensus pricing ahead of the August 24 title match, his final tune-up before the US Open.

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Hubert Hurkacz.

This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Sebastian Baez.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$47,686
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

The “H. Hurkacz vs. S. Baez” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the ATP Tour game between the Hubert Hurkacz and the Sebastian Baez, scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where H. Hurkacz is currently priced at 71¢ (71% implied probability) and S. Baez at 30¢ (30%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “H. Hurkacz vs. S. Baez” market has generated $47.7K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “H. Hurkacz vs. S. Baez,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows HURKACZ at 71¢ and BAEZ at 30¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “H. Hurkacz vs. S. Baez” show Hubert Hurkacz at 71¢ (71% implied probability) and Sebastian Baez at 30¢ (30%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “H. Hurkacz vs. S. Baez” market resolves based on the official final score of the ATP Tour game as reported by ATP Tour’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.