Alphabet's current market capitalization near $4.2 trillion anchors the 63.5% implied probability on the $4.00–4.50T bin for end-August 2026, reflecting limited time for material price swings before resolution. July Q2 results delivered 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and 82% Google Cloud expansion, validating AI demand, yet shares faced pressure from doubled capital expenditures and raised 2026 guidance, highlighting the trade-off between infrastructure buildout and near-term free cash flow. With trading volumes steady and no major catalysts imminent, trader consensus prices in continuity around prevailing levels rather than outsized moves, consistent with historical low-volatility periods near month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50T 64%
$4.50-$5.00T 32%
$3.50-$4.00T 6%
<$3.50T 5.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<$3.50T
5%
$3.50-$4.00T
6%
$4.00-$4.50T
64%
$4.50-$5.00T
32%
$5.00-$5.50T
<1%
$5.50-$6.00T
3%
$6.00T+
8%
$4.00-$4.50T 64%
$4.50-$5.00T 32%
$3.50-$4.00T 6%
<$3.50T 5.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<$3.50T
$315 Vol.
5%
$3.50-$4.00T
$376 Vol.
6%
$4.00-$4.50T
$3,361 Vol.
64%
$4.50-$5.00T
$3,854 Vol.
32%
$5.00-$5.50T
$146 Vol.
<1%
$5.50-$6.00T
$217 Vol.
3%
$6.00T+
$256 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet's current market capitalization near $4.2 trillion anchors the 63.5% implied probability on the $4.00–4.50T bin for end-August 2026, reflecting limited time for material price swings before resolution. July Q2 results delivered 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and 82% Google Cloud expansion, validating AI demand, yet shares faced pressure from doubled capital expenditures and raised 2026 guidance, highlighting the trade-off between infrastructure buildout and near-term free cash flow. With trading volumes steady and no major catalysts imminent, trader consensus prices in continuity around prevailing levels rather than outsized moves, consistent with historical low-volatility periods near month-end.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Volume
$8,525End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet's current market capitalization near $4.2 trillion anchors the 63.5% implied probability on the $4.00–4.50T bin for end-August 2026, reflecting limited time for material price swings before resolution. July Q2 results delivered 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and 82% Google Cloud expansion, validating AI demand, yet shares faced pressure from doubled capital expenditures and raised 2026 guidance, highlighting the trade-off between infrastructure buildout and near-term free cash flow. With trading volumes steady and no major catalysts imminent, trader consensus prices in continuity around prevailing levels rather than outsized moves, consistent with historical low-volatility periods near month-end.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$8,525End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alphabet's current market capitalization near $4.2 trillion anchors the 63.5% implied probability on the $4.00–4.50T bin for end-August 2026, reflecting limited time for material price swings before resolution. July Q2 results delivered 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and 82% Google Cloud expansion, validating AI demand, yet shares faced pressure from doubled capital expenditures and raised 2026 guidance, highlighting the trade-off between infrastructure buildout and near-term free cash flow. With trading volumes steady and no major catalysts imminent, trader consensus prices in continuity around prevailing levels rather than outsized moves, consistent with historical low-volatility periods near month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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