Bangladesh's commanding position in the ongoing first Test at Darwin has driven the shift in series sentiment, with Australia dismissed for 198 before Hasan Mahmud's 6 for 55 and Tanzid Hasan's maiden century helped the visitors build a lead exceeding 150 runs by the end of day two. Australia’s batting fragility after a long break, including early dismissals of key openers, contrasts with Bangladesh’s composed middle order anchored by Najmul Hossain Shanto and Mushfiqur Rahim. The two-match series in Australian conditions, part of the World Test Championship, features limited recent head-to-head data given the 23-year gap since Bangladesh’s last visit, yet the current momentum and home-side vulnerabilities have elevated Bangladesh’s implied probability of claiming the series. A strong reply from Australia’s bowlers or second-innings resilience could narrow the gap before the second Test in Mackay.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAustralia – Bangladesh
Moneyline
$117K Vol.
Team Top Batter
$0 Vol.
Toss Winner
$126 Vol.
Match goes to Day 3?
$2.2K Vol.
Match goes to Day 4?
$0 Vol.
Match goes to Day 5?
$2 Vol.
DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw.
If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.espncricinfo.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Australia – Bangladesh
Moneyline
$117K Vol.
Team Top Batter
$0 Vol.
Toss Winner
$126 Vol.
Match goes to Day 3?
$2.2K Vol.
Match goes to Day 4?
$0 Vol.
Match goes to Day 5?
$2 Vol.
DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw.
If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.espncricinfo.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bangladesh's commanding position in the ongoing first Test at Darwin has driven the shift in series sentiment, with Australia dismissed for 198 before Hasan Mahmud's 6 for 55 and Tanzid Hasan's maiden century helped the visitors build a lead exceeding 150 runs by the end of day two. Australia’s batting fragility after a long break, including early dismissals of key openers, contrasts with Bangladesh’s composed middle order anchored by Najmul Hossain Shanto and Mushfiqur Rahim. The two-match series in Australian conditions, part of the World Test Championship, features limited recent head-to-head data given the 23-year gap since Bangladesh’s last visit, yet the current momentum and home-side vulnerabilities have elevated Bangladesh’s implied probability of claiming the series. A strong reply from Australia’s bowlers or second-innings resilience could narrow the gap before the second Test in Mackay.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
Build a combo
Select two options


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions