Durham enters the Metro Bank One Day Cup quarterfinal against Lancashire with a narrow 59.5% implied probability, reflecting comparable group-stage records of five wins from eight matches but subtle edges in recent momentum and squad depth. Both counties posted strong net run rates to advance, yet Durham’s late surge—including a convincing chase against Essex and a nine-wicket romp over Hampshire—has traders viewing their batting lineup, anchored by players like Alex Lees and David Bedingham, as more reliable in knockout conditions. Lancashire’s form has been streaky, with a heavy victory over Somerset offset by narrow defeats, while injury concerns around key contributors and a slightly inferior historical record in 50-over clashes at this stage tilt consensus toward the visitors. Weather or toss outcomes could still shift the contest in either direction on August 14.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLancashire – Durham


Moneyline
$3.5K Vol.
Team Top Batter
$0 Vol.
Toss Winner
$0 Vol.
Completed Match
$0 Vol.
DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.espncricinfo.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Lancashire – Durham


Moneyline
$3.5K Vol.
Team Top Batter
$0 Vol.
Toss Winner
$0 Vol.
Completed Match
$0 Vol.
DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.espncricinfo.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Durham enters the Metro Bank One Day Cup quarterfinal against Lancashire with a narrow 59.5% implied probability, reflecting comparable group-stage records of five wins from eight matches but subtle edges in recent momentum and squad depth. Both counties posted strong net run rates to advance, yet Durham’s late surge—including a convincing chase against Essex and a nine-wicket romp over Hampshire—has traders viewing their batting lineup, anchored by players like Alex Lees and David Bedingham, as more reliable in knockout conditions. Lancashire’s form has been streaky, with a heavy victory over Somerset offset by narrow defeats, while injury concerns around key contributors and a slightly inferior historical record in 50-over clashes at this stage tilt consensus toward the visitors. Weather or toss outcomes could still shift the contest in either direction on August 14.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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