Bahia’s stronger Série A standing in sixth place with 33 points from 22 matches, compared with Chapecoense’s last-place position and single win in 21 games, underpins the 45.5% implied probability for the visitors. Recent results reinforce this edge, including Bahia’s 2-0 home victory in July and Chapecoense’s continued poor form. Multiple absences for the hosts, including Max Alves, Yannick Bolasie, and others with knee and thigh issues, further tilt consensus toward Bahia despite the away fixture at Arena Condá. Chapecoense’s modest historical home record against Bahia and limited recent scoring output support the 26.5% home-win probability, while the 28% draw price reflects the competitive nature of a mid-table side facing a relegation-threatened opponent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAssociação Chapecoense de Futebol – EC Bahia
Moneyline
Reg Time$695 Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$10 Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$0 Vol.
First Team to Score
Reg Time$101 Vol.
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol Totals
Reg Time$6 Vol.
EC Bahia Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
If Associação Chapecoense de Futebol wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Associação Chapecoense de Futebol – EC Bahia
Moneyline
Reg Time$695 Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$10 Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$0 Vol.
First Team to Score
Reg Time$101 Vol.
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol Totals
Reg Time$6 Vol.
EC Bahia Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
If Associação Chapecoense de Futebol wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bahia’s stronger Série A standing in sixth place with 33 points from 22 matches, compared with Chapecoense’s last-place position and single win in 21 games, underpins the 45.5% implied probability for the visitors. Recent results reinforce this edge, including Bahia’s 2-0 home victory in July and Chapecoense’s continued poor form. Multiple absences for the hosts, including Max Alves, Yannick Bolasie, and others with knee and thigh issues, further tilt consensus toward Bahia despite the away fixture at Arena Condá. Chapecoense’s modest historical home record against Bahia and limited recent scoring output support the 26.5% home-win probability, while the 28% draw price reflects the competitive nature of a mid-table side facing a relegation-threatened opponent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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