**Rafael Jodar enters the US Open first-round matchup against Thanasi Kokkinakis as the clear favorite, backed by his rapid rise to a career-high ranking near No. 11-13 and a dominant 2026 hard-court campaign that includes a Washington final, Canadian Open semifinal, and multiple wins over top-20 opponents.** The 19-year-old Spaniard arrives after a demanding North American swing, showing resilience in three-set victories despite a Cincinnati R16 loss to Flavio Cobolli that highlighted fatigue from a heavy schedule. Kokkinakis, ranked No. 412 at age 30, has posted limited results this season with early exits and a sub-.500 record, offering little recent evidence of matching Jodar’s pace, power, or consistency on hard courts. The Australian veteran’s experience provides limited upset potential in a best-of-five format, but Jodar’s superior recent form and physical edge shape the strong trader consensus favoring the Spaniard.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRafael Jodar – Thanasi Kokkinakis
Moneyline
$0 Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Thanasi Kokkinakis.
This market will resolve to 'Thanasi Kokkinakis' if Thanasi Kokkinakis advances against Rafael Jodar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Rafael Jodar – Thanasi Kokkinakis
Moneyline
$0 Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Thanasi Kokkinakis.
This market will resolve to 'Thanasi Kokkinakis' if Thanasi Kokkinakis advances against Rafael Jodar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...**Rafael Jodar enters the US Open first-round matchup against Thanasi Kokkinakis as the clear favorite, backed by his rapid rise to a career-high ranking near No. 11-13 and a dominant 2026 hard-court campaign that includes a Washington final, Canadian Open semifinal, and multiple wins over top-20 opponents.** The 19-year-old Spaniard arrives after a demanding North American swing, showing resilience in three-set victories despite a Cincinnati R16 loss to Flavio Cobolli that highlighted fatigue from a heavy schedule. Kokkinakis, ranked No. 412 at age 30, has posted limited results this season with early exits and a sub-.500 record, offering little recent evidence of matching Jodar’s pace, power, or consistency on hard courts. The Australian veteran’s experience provides limited upset potential in a best-of-five format, but Jodar’s superior recent form and physical edge shape the strong trader consensus favoring the Spaniard.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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